Meta-analysisBreast cancer

Relevance of breast cancer hormone receptors and other factors to the efficacy of adjuvant tamoxifen: patient-level meta-analysis of randomised trials

The Lancet · 201121,457 patients in 20 trials (of whom 10,645 had ER-positive disease)
Early Breast Cancer Trialists' Collaborative Group (EBCTCG). The Lancet. 2011. 378:771-784
Study type
Meta-analysis
Study name
EBCTCG tamoxifen 2011
Design
Collaborative patient-level meta-analysis of randomised trials
Sample size
21,457 patients in 20 trials (of whom 10,645 had ER-positive disease)
Source
The Lancet · 2011

In plain words

This study brought together information on more than 21 thousand women with early breast cancer from 20 trials. The result showed that taking tamoxifen for about 5 years, in women whose tumour is oestrogen receptor-positive, lowers the risk of the cancer coming back and of death from breast cancer over the next 15 years by about a third. In oestrogen receptor-negative tumours, the drug has almost no effect. The absolute benefit for each patient depends on her starting risk of the cancer coming back; make the decision with your treating doctor.

Key results

RR 0.53 (SE 0.03)
Recurrence rate ratio in ER-positive disease, years 0 to 4
2p<0.00001
RR 0.68 (0.06)
Recurrence rate ratio in ER-positive disease, years 5 to 9
2p<0.00001
RR 0.97 (0.10)
Recurrence rate ratio in ER-positive disease, years 10 to 14
Indicating no further gain or loss after year 10
RR 0.67 (0.08)
Recurrence rate ratio in weakly ER-positive disease (10 to 19 fmol/mg cytosol protein)
Substantial reduction in recurrence
RR 0.71 (0.05)
Breast cancer mortality rate ratio, years 0 to 4
p<0.0001
RR 0.66 (0.05)
Breast cancer mortality rate ratio, years 5 to 9
p<0.0001
RR 0.68 (0.08)
Breast cancer mortality rate ratio, years 10 to 14
p<0.0001
Tamoxifen had little or no effect on recurrence or breast cancer mortality
ER-negative disease
Drugs in this study:Tamoxifen (Nolvadex)

Treatment arms and regimens

1Adjuvant tamoxifen

About 5 years of tamoxifen.

Meta-analysis of multiple trials; dose and schedule varied between trials and no single dose is reported.

2Control group

No adjuvant tamoxifen.

Source of the regimen details: Abstract of the paper

Doses are given for the information of specialists, as in this study’s protocol, and are not a prescription. Every drug must be prescribed by the treating physician for the individual patient.

Study population

Women with early breast cancer in 20 trials comparing about 5 years of tamoxifen with no adjuvant tamoxifen. Treatment adherence was about 80%. Further details of the inclusion criteria are in the full text.

Endpoints

Rate ratios (RR) for recurrence and death, from log-rank analyses by allocated treatment. Recurrence, breast cancer death, non-breast-cancer death and death from any cause were examined by oestrogen receptor (ER) status and other factors.

Safety and side effects

Non-breast-cancer mortality was little affected overall, although a small absolute increase in deaths from thromboembolism and uterine cancer was seen (both only in women older than 55 years). All-cause mortality was therefore substantially reduced.

Clinical significance and place in guidelines

This meta-analysis shows that ER status is the only recorded factor that importantly predicts the proportional risk reduction with tamoxifen; progesterone receptor, age, nodal status and chemotherapy had no marked effect on the proportional reduction. No benefit was seen in ER-negative disease, and even in weakly ER-positive disease the reduction in recurrence was substantial. The absolute risk reduction depends on the absolute risk without tamoxifen. The exact status of these findings in current guidelines should be checked.

Limitations

According to the abstract, treatment adherence was about 80% and analyses were by allocated treatment. The meta-analysis is limited to trials of about 5 years of tamoxifen versus no treatment. Other limitations should be checked in the full text.

This summary was prepared by the editorial team from the published paper; the original paper is the final reference. Read the original abstract on PubMed.