Observational studyOesophageal cancer

Improvement of esophageal cancer survival in Northeast Iran: A two-decade journey in a high-risk, low- resource region

PLoS ONE · 2024490 patients
Nemati S, Islami F, Kamangar F, Poustchi H, Roshandel G, Shakeri R, et al. PLoS ONE. 2024. 19:e0310842
Study type
Observational study
Study name
GEMINI
Design
Prospective cohort study of patients with oesophageal squamous-cell carcinoma with active and passive follow-up
Sample size
490 patients
Source
PLoS ONE · 2024

In plain words

This study looked at survival of patients with squamous-cell cancer of the oesophagus in northeast Iran (Golestan Province). About 23% of patients were alive five years after diagnosis, whereas this figure had earlier been reported as about 3.3% in the same region. Patients who received cancer treatment, were younger or did not use opium survived longer on average. These findings show that access to proper care and treatment can improve outcomes.

Key results

340 deaths
Number of deaths
During the study period
23%
5-year survival probability
95% CI 19% to 28%; 3.3% in the earlier report from the same region
19 months
Median survival time
7 months in the earlier report from the same region
35% under 60 years vs 12% over 70 years
5-year survival by age
P<0.001
34% vs 21% (no formal education)
5-year survival by education
P=0.027
28% (no use) vs 15%
5-year survival by opium use
P=0.0016
37% vs 4%
5-year survival by receipt of cancer treatment
P<0.001
1.36 per 10-year increase in age
Hazard ratio (HR) for death: older age
95% CI 1.22 to 1.51
1.35
Hazard ratio (HR) for death: Turkmen ethnicity
95% CI 1.07 to 1.70
1.53
Hazard ratio (HR) for death: opium use
95% CI 1.20 to 1.94
5.81
Hazard ratio (HR) for death: not receiving cancer treatment
95% CI 3.97 to 8.52

Treatment arms and regimens

1All patients (single cohort)

This is an observational study with no intervention group. Patients were compared by whether or not they received cancer treatment; details of treatment type and dose are in the full text.

Source of the regimen details: Abstract of the paper

Doses are given for the information of specialists, as in this study’s protocol, and are not a prescription. Every drug must be prescribed by the treating physician for the individual patient.

Study population

490 adult patients with histologically confirmed oesophageal squamous-cell carcinoma (ESCC) enrolled between 2007 and 2018 from the Atrak Clinic in Golestan Province, Iran. Demographic data and various exposures were collected at enrolment.

Endpoints

Survival of patients with ESCC (5-year survival probability and median survival time) and prognostic factors associated with risk of death. Vital status was determined up to March 2019 through active follow-up (telephone interviews) and passive follow-up (linkage with the Golestan population-based cancer and death registries). Survival estimates were obtained with the Kaplan–Meier method and Cox proportional hazards regression models.

Safety and side effects

This is an observational survival study, and treatment adverse event data were not reported in the abstract.

Clinical significance and place in guidelines

This observational study shows that improved health infrastructure and access to affordable treatment were associated with a marked improvement in ESCC survival in a high-risk, low-resource region. Not receiving treatment (which may reflect advanced disease at diagnosis), opium use, older age and Turkmen ethnicity were associated with a worse prognosis. This study is not a clinical guideline and does not directly change treatment protocols, but it supports policies to strengthen access to diagnosis and treatment.

Limitations

Observational, single-centre design (Atrak Clinic); the comparison with the earlier report from the same region is a historical comparison. "Not receiving treatment" may be a marker of advanced disease and confound its association with survival. Details of treatment types and disease stage are not given in the abstract.

This summary was prepared by the editorial team from the published paper; the original paper is the final reference. Read the original abstract on PubMed.