Clinical trialBreast cancer

Anastrozole for prevention of breast cancer in high-risk postmenopausal women (IBIS-II): an international, double-blind, randomised placebo-controlled trial

The Lancet · 20143864 women (1920 in the anastrozole group and 1944 in the placebo group)
Cuzick J, Sestak I, Forbes JF, Dowsett M, Knox J, Cawthorn S, et al. The Lancet. 2014. 383:1041-1048
Study type
Clinical trial
Study name
IBIS-II
Design
International, double-blind, randomised (1:1), placebo-controlled trial; intention-to-treat analysis; registration number ISRCTN31488319
Sample size
3864 women (1920 in the anastrozole group and 1944 in the placebo group)
Source
The Lancet · 2014

In plain words

In this study, postmenopausal women at high risk of breast cancer took an anastrozole tablet or a placebo (a tablet with no active drug) every day for 5 years. In the anastrozole group, about half as many women developed breast cancer as in the placebo group (40 versus 85 women). The number of deaths was about the same in the two groups, and most side effects due to lower oestrogen were not attributed to the drug. The decision to take this drug should be made with your doctor, based on each person's level of risk.

Key results

40 women (2%) in the anastrozole group vs 85 women (4%) in the placebo group
Breast cancer (median follow-up 5.0 years; interquartile range 3.0–7.1)
HR 0.47 (95% CI 0.32–0.68), P<0.0001
2.8% with anastrozole vs 5.6% with placebo
Predicted cumulative incidence of all breast cancers after 7 years
18 in the anastrozole group vs 17 in the placebo group
Deaths
No specific cause was more common in one group than in the other (P=0.836)
Drugs in this study:Anastrozole (Arimidex)

Treatment arms and regimens

1Anastrozole

Oral anastrozole 1 mg daily for 5 years (1920 women).

2Placebo

Matching oral placebo daily for 5 years (1944 women).

Source of the regimen details: Abstract of the paper

Doses are given for the information of specialists, as in this study’s protocol, and are not a prescription. Every drug must be prescribed by the treating physician for the individual patient.

Study population

Postmenopausal women aged 40 to 70 years from 18 countries who were at increased risk of breast cancer according to defined criteria. Recruitment took place from 2 February 2003 to 31 January 2012.

Endpoints

Primary endpoint: histologically confirmed breast cancer (invasive cancers or non-invasive ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS)). Randomisation was stratified by country and done in blocks of six, eight or ten. Only the trial statistician was aware of treatment allocation.

Safety and side effects

The abstract does not report exact numbers of grade 3 or higher adverse events. Based on the abstract, most adverse events related to oestrogen deprivation were not attributed to treatment. The number of deaths was similar in the two groups (18 versus 17). Details of adverse events are available in the full text of the paper.

Clinical significance and place in guidelines

Based on the abstract, anastrozole effectively reduced the incidence of breast cancer in high-risk postmenopausal women, and the authors consider this finding to support its use in this group. The exact status of this use in clinical guidelines and drug licences should be checked in up-to-date sources; the abstract gives no information on them.

Limitations

The abstract does not report exact numbers of adverse events, and a full safety assessment requires the full text of the paper. Median follow-up was 5.0 years. This paper has corrections (Erratum) (Lancet 2014;383:1040 and Lancet 2017;389:1010), which should be checked in the full text when citing it.

This summary was prepared by the editorial team from the published paper; the original paper is the final reference. Read the original abstract on PubMed.